World Cup 2014: Top Scorer

This entry was posted on Friday, June 6th, 2014

In just five days the biggest show on earth gets underway and you can hardly turn on your TV sets at the moment without shows dedicated to reliving some of the greatest ever World Cup goals. Indeed goals are what we’ll be looking forward to this summer but which player is going to score the most?

The record books will tell you Thomas Muller was the Golden Boot winner at World Cup 2010 but this was only because he got more assists than David Villa, Wesley Sneijder and Diego Forlan (all were tied on five goals) – most bookies will be paying out on ‘dead heat’ rules if there is a tie between the top scorers – so it’s important you check with your individual bookmaker.

The last four Golden Boot winners, (Muller, Klose, Ronaldo and Suker) were all from sides that got to at least the semi-final, which given they have the 3rd/4th place play off means they play as many games as possible (seven), given them the most opportunities to score goals. As such unless you can see the team making the final four it’s hard to justify a punt. The wonders of Salenko for Russia in 1994 are unlikely to be repeated, where he scored six goals in the three group games – yet it wasn’t enough to help as Russia bowed out in the Group Stage.

Our pick is Neymar at 12.5 on Betfair. He has 31 goals in 48 caps and looks certain to be given a lot of game time. He likes a tournament, scoring twice at the Copa America in 2011, three at the 2012 Olympics and four at the 2013 Confederations Cup. Could it be five or more this year? Home advantage could be key and he could repeat the feats of Klose (2006), Schillaci (1990) and Kempes (1978) in providing a host nation top scorer. We can’t see Brazil failing to make the final four and we’re happy to place our faith in Barcelona’s 22-year-old.

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