Two Guays, One Cup
This entry was posted on Sunday, July 24th, 2011
Copa America Final.
Not since Homer Simpson pronounced it U r gay, have Uruguay caused such confusion on the global stage. The 2011 Copa America final was meant to be Argentina-Brazil of course – the entire tournament structure was virtually rigged to that effect. Yet Sunday night will see the battle of the Guays, as Para attempt to topple Uru, and possibly become the first side ever to win a tournament without winning a single match in it. For the first time since 1987 (when both have entered), the Copa America final is lacking a Brazilian or an Argie.
Judging from Paraguay’s semi-final however, there should be no shortage of argie-bargie at least. But even a hearty dose of mindless violence can’t compensate for what has been a negative tournament, further evidence of football’s Europeanisation, with any international fixture wherever it takes place, now reminiscent of Denmark vs Norway circa 1993.
Sadly, 0-0 is a distinct possibility. Since the tournament changed to the modern format, no final has ended that way, but as three of the matches Paraguay have played in this tournament have ended goalless, 6/1 at Ladbrokes looks a good price.
Expect Paraguay to do what they do best against sides better than them–keep it very tight at the back. Don’t forget World Cup winners Spain only narrowly beat them 1-0 in South Africa last summer in a game which also saw Paraguay miss a penalty.
We ultimately think however that the class of Forlan and Suarez will see Uruguay through. Back them to lift the trophy at 1.5 with Betfair. Just don’t expect it to be pretty.