Title decider 2014

This entry was posted on Friday, April 25th, 2014

Red v Blue in a title decider is nothing new for the Premier League, but that the red isn’t that of Manchester United or Arsenal is something of a novelty since the early 1990s. It’s some 24 years since Merseyside had a title to rejoice and victory over Chelsea will surely see that dream come to fruition.

In the match odds Liverpool are 4/6 with Bet365 to win, which is too short for us, but who would want to oppose a team who has won 11 games straight, so here are some other markets for you to target.

Liverpool’s last 11 League games have ALL seen over 2.5 goals, which is truly extraordinary in the Premier League. However, with under 2.5 goals available at 2.46 on the Betfair Exchange we’re finding it hard to ignore. This looks set up for a classic case of Mourinho making the game as dull as possible in a bit to keep Liverpool at bay in the hope of nicking the game late on. Given Liverpool won’t be too upset with a draw don’t rule out this not being the blockbuster affair it’s being hyped as. Perhaps take cover with under 3.5 goals – an attractive enough price at 4/7 with Ladbrokes. We’re encouraged by the fact no side has conceded fewer goals than the 15 Chelsea have on the road this season whilst Liverpool themselves have only conceded 15 at home in the League.

Liverpool have led at the break in a remarkable 15 of 17 home League games this season which makes them look a fair bet to lead at half-time at 11/10 with Bet365. However we’re more interested in a speculative punt on the half-time/full-time market. Liverpool were shaken by second half comebacks from both City and Norwich in recent weeks, so 16/1 with Ladbrokes on Liverpool Half-Time and Draw at Full Time seems good value. We can’t resist a few shekel on Bet365’s 40/1 about Chelsea winning after trailing at the break.

Martin Skrtel is the top scoring defender in the Premier League and at 25/1 with Ladbrokes he has to be considered for a small stakes first goal scorer punt. Interestingly, despite being the undisputed player of the season, Suarez only has two goals at Anfield in his last eight games there, which for us makes him a lay for an anytime goalscorer given he is priced at 1.98 on the Betfair exchange.

Finally, Ladbrokes offer a Man of The Match market and why not chance your arm by backing a player on either side. On the Liverpool side Raheem Sterling has been the star in recent weeks so we’ll back him at 8/1 whilst how about a poetic return for Torres at Anfield – if he scores the winner then 16/1 will look a big price.

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