Three tips for the IPL
This entry was posted on Tuesday, April 3rd, 2012
The Indian Premier League is back for the fifth time and for the purposes of this article let us assume that the tournament is not as bent as a spoon in the presence of Uri Geller. Whilst the authorities will be looking out for suspicious no balls, here’s what you should be looking out for on the betting front.
In the outright tournament betting it’s initially hard not to look at the favourites, Chennai Super Kings. Winners in 2010 and 2011 they are a best price of 7/2 with Ladbrokes. However, we like a bit of value and think that in backing Kolkata Knight Riders at 15/2 with bet365 you may just get it. They were the surprise package of 2011, narrowly beaten by pre-tournament favourites Mumbai Indians and have added top players like Brendan McCullum and Sunil Narine to impressive batting talent like Jacques Kallis, Eoin Morgan and Gautum Gambhir. They have a group of young talented bowlers which should see them through to the knock-out stages at least, at which point you can expect their odds to have been slashed providing a good potential trading opportunity.
Twenty 20 cricket is of course about hitting as many runs as you can in your twenty overs and it makes for some entertaining batting. The ‘Top Batsmen’ market always attracts a lot of attention and last years winner, Chris Gayle who smashed 608 runs from just 12 innings is the favourite, priced at 11/2 with bet365. If you’re betting on this market, you want a player that is set to at least make the knock-out stages and in that respect picking a player from Chennai could be a good move. Mike Hussey, their top scorer last year (and fifth overall) is a 40/1 shot with bet365 which looks great value. They are paying out on the top five at ¼ of the odds.
The other main market to look out for is ‘Top Bowler’ and we’re finding it hard not to look at the favourite – Lasith Malinga. There’s little debate that he’s the most versatile bowler in limited over cricket, with the ability to vary pace and swing with an armoury of yorkers, slow balls and leg cutters in his weaponry. If you shop around you should be able to get 4/1, which given the Mumbai Indians are expected to reach the latter stages, could yet prove good value, despite the short price.