Three Rules for Betting on England in India
This entry was posted on Wednesday, November 14th, 2012
This Won’t End well…
Don’t be Afraid to Back the Draw
For example, take the venue for the first test, Ahmedabad, where there have been six draws in the past 11 test matches – a pretty hefty percentage in the modern game. England are not the batting force they once were, but with Cook and Trott, they have enough grinders. Back the draw in the opener at 2.46.
Spin Spin Spin
A feature of England’s tours to the sub-continent last year, was their vulnerability against top-rank spin bowlers such as Saeed Ajmal. Even in their recent warm-up games, India A’s Yuvraj Singh took five wickets in an innings, whilst eight of the ten Englishmen to fall in the first dig against Haryana XI, departed to spin. Ravi Ashwin certainly fits into that ‘top-rank’ category, and if he doesn’t perform, there is always Harbhajan Singh or Pragyan Ojha to take the wickets. (The Indian seamers main role will be to knacker the ball for the spinners.)
However (and counter-intuitively), our tip for top England bowler is not Graham Swann. He has been out-of-form, and Indians learn to play spin when ingesting their mothers’ milk. Jimmy Anderson however, rarely has a bad day at the office, and could take advantage of the early morning dew. Back him at 5.5 to take the most Indian wickets in the series.
Day 1 in India is Vital
Whereas most test matches in England could still go either way after Day 1, on the sub-continent, the narrative is already half-written. Be ready to punt tomorrow afternoon.