Premiership Preview – 30th November 2012
This entry was posted on Friday, November 30th, 2012
With United and City winning in midweek whilst Benitez 0-0 boredom kicked in, you could already be forgiven for thinking that the title seems destined for Manchester once again and the bookies seem to certainly agree. Meanwhile Harry Redknapp got QPR their first clean sheet on the road in a year in the first step of what he hopes will be a successful bid to stave off relegation.
Yet you have to say that if Reading or Southampton had five points after 14 games you’d rightfully expect them to be 1/5 shots for relegation but Redknapp’s supposed reputation means you can still get 4/5 with Ladbrokes about QPR dropping a division. Does nobody remember he took Southampton down? Ladbrokes will give you 21/20 about Rangers winning this weekend but that can’t begin to tempt us to back a side that are still without a win this season. Villa have made huge strides in recent weeks and we’ll happily take Bet365’s offer of 3/1 on an away win. For more conservative backers take Aston Villa or draw on the Double Chance market at 4/5 with Bet365.
Chelsea have drawn two successive Premier League games 0-0 for the first time since September 2004 and you can get 9/1 with Blue Square about them making it three in a row. It’s not unthinkable given The Hammers have scored just eight goals in their last 13 Premier League meetings with Chelsea and both sides have scored just three goals in their last five league games. Under 2.5 goals at 10/11 with Blue Square is our bet. Don’t rule out Andy Carroll grabbing a goal either – no side has conceded more headed goals than Chelsea this season – Carroll is 15/2 with Bet365 to open the scoring
Arsenal and Swansea have both won three of their six league meetings but with Arsenal in a run of just three wins from their last nine home Premier League games many will want more than the 4/9 Ladbrokes will give you on the home side. If you’re having a bet, bear in mind Arsenal have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half of games, whilst they are the only side in the top flight yet to concede in the final 15 minutes of a league game this season. Accordingly, we can see the game getting off to a lively start and we’ll take the 57/40 Bet365 offer on two goals or more in the opening 45 minutes.
With just four Premier League home wins at Anfield in 2012, you could forgive us for not backing Liverpool at 4/9 with Ladbrokes this weekend against Southampton, but we actually think they’ll win this one. A better bet may however be to back goals. The Saints only have one clean sheet all season but they’ve actually scored three more goals than The Reds this campaign. There have been 27 goals in Southampton’s six away games which helps our decision to take the 1.7 on Betfair about three goals or more.