Premiership Preview 3/4 March 2012

This entry was posted on Friday, March 2nd, 2012

New Sunday Newspapers don’t come around too often, but neither do trophies in the Liverpool trophy cabinet these days, so it was remarkable that both should happen last weekend. The Carling Cup victory undoubtedly raised spirits on Merseyside even if the Sun on Sunday didn’t; and they’ll hope to retain their unbeaten home record when they welcome Arsenal on Saturday lunchtime.

The Gunners too arrive in good spirits after the North London derby, a third league victory in a row. However, their form on their travels is shaky, with just two wins in their last six, but we think they’ll come away from Anfield with a point. Liverpool have already drawn eight of twelve home games and four of the last five league games between the two at Anfield have ended up all square. The draw is available at 5/2 with Bet365 and the 1-1 scoreline which has been the case in three of the last five years is at 7.8 on Betfair.

Wigan know they have a genuine chance to move off the bottom of the table on Saturday as they look to drown the Swans. They have however won the fewest home games of anyone in the league – one – but we think it’s time for number two. Swansea’s season has hit a buffer and it’s now just one win in six for the Jacks, whilst Wigan have five points from their last three games. Five of Swansea’s last six trips in the league have ended up under 2.5 goals, so we’ll back that again at 8/11 with Blue Square but we can’t get away from the Wigan win at 6/4 with Bet365.

Another of the relegation threatened clubs, Blackburn Rovers will also have realistic hopes of three points on Saturday. Aston Villa fans have turned on their manager Alex McLeish in great numbers during a recent run of form that has seen them without a win in five in all competitions. Blackburn have faced a tough run of games but will believe they can build on their last home game where they beat QPR 3-2. Six of their last seven home games have been over 2.5 goals so we’ll back that at 17/20 with Bet365. We think they’ll edge this one and back them at 2.5 on Betfair.

Everton are once again proving to be stronger in the second half of the season and they arrive at Loftus Road on Saturday, unbeaten in seven games in all competitions. On the road however, they’ve won just one of the last six, only scoring four goals in those games. Yet in QPR they face the side with the third worst home record in the division. Rangers are on a run of just two wins in 17 which makes the 2/1 Ladbrokes offer on them totally unappealing. We much prefer the 11/8 you can get on Everton with Ladbrokes, but we’d rather just play under 2.5 goals here, the outcome in all of Everton’s last seven away matches, which is 3/4 with Bet365. Everton are 4/6 on the ‘draw no bet’ market with Ladbrokes if you want that security.

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