Premiership Preview – 28 March 2014

This entry was posted on Friday, March 28th, 2014

Just as the media was predicting the first genuine four-way battle for the title, Arsenal have done their annual humpty dumpty impression. Their great fall leaves them more concerned about holding onto a Champions League spot than battling for the title.

Onwards they stumble with Manchester City visiting the Emirates this weekend and few teams will fancy their chances more than Pellegrini’s men. The games in North London between the sides have been tight affairs of late, with the last six league meetings all going under 2.5 goals with none of those games seeing both sides scoring. City have 19 points from their last 21 available on the road, whilst Arsenal have just four wins from 11 in all competitions.  Most pundits will select an away win this weekend, but we have a sneaky feeling Arsenal may finally show some resolve and keep things all square. Back the draw at 13/5 with Bet365.

Swansea’s price to beat Norwich has shortened after their last gasp draw at Arsenal, but for us it’s too short to get the better of a Norwich side buoyed by an excellent win over Sunderland. Norwich have won on their last two trips to Swansea (4-3 and 3-2) and have never lost to the Welsh side in five Premier League meetings.  For us it’s a lay of Swansea at 1.78 on Betfair.

Only Chelsea have conceded fewer goals away from home than Aston Villa and it’s with that in mind that we’re not expecting too many goals at Old Trafford on Saturday.  Villa’s away games average 2.21 goals (the third lowest in the League) and fewer than 2.5 goals could be large at 2.22 on Betfair. Manchester United have only completed the Half-Time/Full-Time double on four of fifteen occasions this season at home, so we’ll lay that at 2.16 on Betfair, which looks great value given Villa have only been behind at the break twice on the road this campaign.

Our final selection is to back a nervous affair at The Hawthorns as West Brom welcome Cardiff. The Baggies are without a home win since January 1stwhist Cardiff haven’t won away since September.  Cardiff have scored just eight on the road all season, whilst West Brom have just sixteen at home from fifteen games, so the only bet we can have with any confidence is a low scoring affair. We’ll keep it simple, under 2.5 goals at 17/20 with Ladbrokes

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