Premiership Preview – 22 February 2013

This entry was posted on Friday, February 22nd, 2013

Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose say the French and increasing numbers of Arsenal fans may find themselves agreeing, unsure if their manager is capable of bringing successful change to the club. Outplayed in Europe in midweek, beaten by Bradford and Blackburn in the cups and with a huge battle on to secure a top four spot, never has the pressure been greater on Wenger. He’ll be hoping Aston Villa can offer some respite from the baying crowd.

However, at 1.35 on Betfair, The Gunners provide no value so instead we’ll look to back goals at The Emirates. Villa have found goals easier to come by of late, scoring seven in their last three League away games whilst their style of play should allow the Gunners to get plenty of chances too. Both teams to score is probably the right pick at 20/21 with Ladbrokes, over 2.5 appeals but looks a little short at 3/5 with the same firm.

QPR’s hopes of staying in the division are diminishing with every week and they are 2/9 with Blue Square to find themselves in the Championship next year. This weekend they welcome Manchester United, but even their most ardent fans will find it hard to back them even at a chunky 6/1 with Bet365. Whilst United should prevail at 8/15 with the same firm, we prefer to back a low scoring affair. QPR have the worst shot conversation rate (8%) in the League whilst United have the best (21%) but most tellingly it’s now four Premier League games in a row at home where The Hoops have drawn blanks, with the last three ending 0-0. Under 2.5 goals has to be the play at a juicy 5/4 with Ladbrokes.

Reading are unbeaten at home in their last six games in all competitions and arrive into Saturday’s game with Wigan sixth in the form table with 10 points from 18, whilst the Latics sit bottom of the same form table, with just three points. 42% of Reading’s goals have come in the final 15 minutes whilst Wigan have scored 70% of their goals after the interval so perhaps the bet for this one is to back more goals in the second half which is 11/10 at Ladbrokes. Given the form of the two sides The Royals look arguably a touch big at 13/8 with Bet365.

Monday night sees a London derby at Upton Park as the Hammers welcome a Spurs side buoyed by their late Europa League success on Thursday night. Only Manchester United and Chelsea have a better record on the road in the Premier League this season than the North London side, who have scored an impressive 24 goals in 13 games. It’s just one win in eight games in all competitions for Allardyce’s men and we think 2.22 on Betfair is value for Tottenham to continue their good form.

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2 Responses to Premiership Preview – 22 February 2013

  1. Robert says:

    Just wanted to say well done again on the picks. Three from four is good going, especially with two at odds against. Reading’s defeat surprised me too. Keep up the good work – any chance of a daily column? Are you on Twitter so I can follow your tips there?

    Robert in Sheffield.

  2. admin says:

    Hi Robert – thanks!

    We’ll have to see about a daily column, though I think it will be unlikely in the near future I’m afraid. We are on twitter (https://twitter.com/oggs) but we don’t post quite as often as we probably should!

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