Premiership Preview – 14 December 2012

This entry was posted on Friday, December 14th, 2012

It’s always nice to get the opportunity to use a football cliché, and by golly we had the chance this week. Overpaid European footballers not liking it in their face up north on a cold Tuesday night (at Bradford), proved correct as Wenger’s team of multi million pound stars fell on penalties to their League Two opponents. They shouldn’t worry however, there’s still the chance to win the Premier League (a mere 100/1 chance), the Champions League (33/1) or the FA Cup (10/1). Or you can back Arsenal to win nothing at 1/9.

Anyway, back to domestic action and it isn’t the first time this season and it won’t be the last where we tell you the price on a Liverpool victory at Anfield is far too low. They are a best priced 2/5 with Ladbrokes to overcome Aston Villa on Saturday, which having seen Paul Lambert’s side make their most impressive away display to advance to the final four of the Capital One Cup is shocking value so we like the lay of Liverpool at 1.42 on Betfair. Punters should also note Liverpool have only won one home game by more than a single goal this season (Wigan 3-0), so backing Aston Villa +1.5 on the Asian Handicap at 33/40 could be the way to go.

Stoke entertain Everton at the Brittania on the back of a 14 match Premier League unbeaten run on home soil, which has also seen them concede just two goals in their last seven home league games. It’s therefore a bit surprising to see Everton as favourites at a best priced 6/4 with Blue Square. For us, that has to be a lay on Betfair at 2.48, especially when you note that The Toffees have only taken four points from their five league trips on the road. The safest bet is perhaps to stick with what we know with Stoke – under 2.5 goals, which has been the case in six of their seven home games so far this season, but the fact Everton have scored in all bar one of their away games may influence our stakes.

QPR go into their match with Fulham looking to avoid the ignominy of being the first top flight side to fail any of their opening 17 games since Bolton in 1902/03. Both sides will be looking to win a London derby for the first time this season but you’ll need to be braver than us to back The Hoops who are favourites for the game at 6/4 with Blue Square Bet. Fulham have four draws on the road in their last five league games and this game has the feel of another one and it can be backed at 12/5 with Bet365.

Arsenal travel to Reading on Monday for their first game since a humiliating defeat to Bradford on Tuesday night. The Gunners have won all ten meetings between the two sides, but are without an away win in six in all competitions. Extraordinarily given Arsenal’s reputation, no side has seen fewer goals in games when playing away than the Gunners – just 14 goals have been scored in their eight league away games (1.75 per game), so don’t expect a repeat of their freakish Capital One Cup game earlier this season. Reading however average the second most goals out of all home teams (3.71 per game), so something will have to give. For our bet we’ll back both teams to score, at 8/11 with Blue Square – it would have been a winner in six of the last seven Royals home games.

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