French Open 2013

This entry was posted on Friday, May 24th, 2013

Murrayless but with Added Nadal

Since the retirement of Roland Rat back in the late 80s (a prime candidate for the Operation Yew Tree chaps if ever there was one,) the British public have yearned for a replacement as their favourite Roland.

Enter Roland Garros, although with British representation there pretty feeble down the years, and even Andy Murray sacking this one off to be ready for Wimbledon, expect the Rat to maintain the upper hand in the nation’s affections for that little while longer.

But who will win? Well Rafa Nadal is back, and he starts as odds-on favourite everywhere you look. The dominance of him and Novak Djokovic (plus the absence of Muzza) means that the third favourite and 2009 champion Roger Federer is priced at 20 on the ‘Fair, whilst just three other men (Ferrer, Berdych and Tsonga,) start below 100.

We think there just might be some value about here. Yes, Nadal is a seven times champion at Roland Garros since first taking the French Open title in 2005, and has been in imperious form after returning from injury in February, winning 36 of 38 matches. But he is still recovering from a pretty serious injury, and hasn’t yet been put through seven matches in a fortnight, on the most grueling of surfaces.

In addition, Djokovic has only once made the final at the French. Whisper it quietly, but it could be the year of the outsider.

Serena Williams is the other hot favourite in this one, but don’t discount Sara Errani (22) or Sam Stosur (22) from springing an upset.

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