European Championship Preview
This entry was posted on Wednesday, October 8th, 2014
Just as Chelsea threatened to run away with the Premier League title along came an International break and that may come as a relief to those who were already in danger of being out the title race before the end of October. Oh and Pardew. He’s probably quite relieved as well.
Of course the sages tell us there are ‘no easy games in International football’ except of course when you’re England and you’re drawn to play against San Marino every bleeding qualifying tournament. San Marino’s record on the road in European Championship qualifying currently reads P28 L28 and they’ve only ever scored ONE goal back in 1994 against Finland. England to win to nil may be value for big punters around the 1.23 mark on Betfair whilst we also see value in the corner market. In their last two meetings, in qualifying for the World Cup England got 16 and 17 corners in the two games – so 2.72 on Betfair on 14 or more corners looks value. 5-0 at 7/1 with Paddy Power and 6-0 at 13/2 with Paddy Power both look decent value.
There’s an intriguing battle in Group G as Russia travel to Sweden and there looks to be some value on the Russians. Fabio Capello’s side didn’t impress at the World Cup but unlike Sweden they did at least make it there. The Swedes have three home defeats in their last four games and in what will likely be a tight game the draw at 9/4 with Bet365 looks the right pick. Russia don’t concede too many but 1-1 looks good at 6.6 on Betfair.
Cyprus got a shock 2-1 win away in Bosnia during their opening Group B fixture to mark their first success in 14 games and their first European Championship Qualifying away win against anyone other than San Marino in over a decade. They face their neighbours across the Mediterranean Sea, Israel, who have struggled for goals in recent years on the road and this looks set to be a tight nervous affair. This is supported by the knowledge that three of the last four Cyprus home games have been goalless. Under 2.5 goals looks a great bet even at 8/13 with Bet365. Don’t rule out another 0-0 at 15/2 with Betfair.
Gibraltar face Ireland in their first ever away European Championship qualifying game and after the pummelling they received ‘at home’ to Poland (7-0) they’ll be Irish hopes of seeing a goal-fest. One thing we can take from Gibraltar’s first game is that they rolled over in the second half having trailed 1-0 at the break. Ireland to win the second half on a handicap -2 at 17/20 with Betfair looks the bet.