England vs Montenegro

This entry was posted on Wednesday, October 9th, 2013

England welcome Montenegro on Friday in what is the first of two crucial games at Wembley as Roy Hodgson attempts to lead England to Brazil next Summer.

England top Group H with four wins and four draws from their eight games, but further draws will almost certainly not be enough for automatic qualification. Both Ukraine and Montenegro are just one point behind and the pressure is most certainly on ‘Woy’s Boys’.

England drew 1-1 in Montenegro back in March after Wayne Rooney’s early goal, was cancelled out by Damjanovic, in an evenly contested match. It’s fair to say England’s opponents are quietly confident they can spring a shock in London. It’s also not the case that they are weaker on the road – they got a vital point in Poland last month and won in Ukraine at the start of the campaign where as they lost that reverse fixture 4-0 in June.

England however have won 12 of their last 13 home World Cup qualifying games and not since THAT night against Croatia in September 2007 which ended hopes of reaching Euro 2008, have England lost a competitive home game. With no rain forecast over London on Friday Hodgson will surely avoid the temptation to ‘do a McLaren’. Overall, England have just one defeat in their last 20 World Cup qualifiers – home or away. It’s impressive.

With England at 1.38 on Betfair to win the game, we’d be a nervous backer, although we do expect the job to be done. Instead, we’ll back a cautious affair and go under 2.5 goals – at 2.12 on Betfair. 2-0 England will be our correct score selection at 11/2 with Ladbrokes.

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