England vs Italy – World Cup 2014

This entry was posted on Friday, June 13th, 2014

The World Cup got off to a flier on the pitch in Sao Paulo but the same can’t be said for the TV studio. ITV’s coverage started by showing Ian Wright ‘talking slowly in English to foreigners in the belief that’ll help them understand. It didn’t. Adrian Chiles meanwhile seemed more concerned with 100 protestors than the opening of a World Cup. Fabio Cannavaro decided to answer his own questions rather than respond to Chiles. Fair enough sir. Thankfully it’s the BBC for us on Saturday night as England kick off their campaign.

England and Italy meet in Manaus for what will surely be a tight affair. Italy are 9th in the FIFA rankings whilst England are 10th. Including friendly games the last seven meetings have produced a paltry ten goals and the bookies are expecting under 2.5 goals again – it’s just 1.51 on the Betfair Exchange. It’s hard to argue against it.

Interestingly both Italy and England have had successive 1-1 draws in their opening games of the last two tournaments. England had single goal draws with USA in 2010 and France in 2012, whilst Italy had the same scoreline against Paraguay in 2010 and Spain in 2012. It seems obvious but go with history which means back the 1-1 draw at 5/1 with Ladbrokes.

If we take that view then why not suggest that England will fly out the blocks and take the lead as they did against both the USA and France in the last two tournaments, before having to settle for a point. England to lead at Half-Time but the game to end up a draw looks value at 16/1 with Ladbrokes.

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