Champions League Final 2013

This entry was posted on Friday, May 24th, 2013

Willkommen to Wembley for what is only the second final in the last nine years not to feature an English team and the first to feature two German sides.

The last time we had two sides from the same nation competing for Champions League glory was in 2007/08 when Manchester United and Chelsea battled all the way to a penalty shoot out in Moscow. Interestingly the previous occasion we saw a domestic affair, the 2002/03 final between Milan and Juventus, also went to a shoot out. A similar outcome on Saturday is a 6/1 shot with Bet365.

Many people are expecting goals on Saturday due to the success both sides have scoring domestically, but punters should be aware that four of the last five finals have seen two goals or less, whilst the two sides drew 1-1 twice this season with a cup match ending 1-0 in Bayern’s favour. Only one final in the last seven has seen four goals or more so perhaps a safer punt is the 1.48 on Betfair for under 3.5 goals.

Whilst many will tip both sides scoring we’re not convinced it should be priced at a general 4/6. Since Arsenal became the only side to stop Bayern Munich scoring in the 57 games they’ve played this season, Bayern fought back to keep clean sheets in both legs against Juventus and Barcelona. We’d rather be backing 2.32 on Betfair for both sides not to score.

Overall, it’s hard to look past Bayern for the final and we suspect they’ll have enough quality to get the job done in 90 minutes. 3/4 with Ladbrokes isn’t the most attractive price, but it’s one we’ll back believing that this will be Munich avenging the shock Chelsea victory of last season.

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