Carling Cup 2013

This entry was posted on Tuesday, September 24th, 2013

I mean the Capital One 

Whilst the victory of Swansea City last season, and the extraordinary progress of Bradford City bolstered the reputation of the Capital One Cup as the home of more surprises than Holly Willoughby’s new television venture, the actual truth is somewhat less fairytale-ish. Swansea and Birmingham City aside (and the latter was a true freak,) every other final dating back to 2004 has been won by one of the Premier League’s traditional big five (sorry Man City), with more than half of those finals being contested by two of them.

The return of Jose Mourinho also tosses another bucket of water onto the romanticist fire. Mourinho’s Chelsea won the competition in 2005 and 2007, and it would certainly appear to be his safest bet for a pot in 2014. Little surprise that Chelsea are the current favourites on Betfair – at 5.6, a price it is hard to argue against.

Of the other big dogs, David Moyes never showed much interest in the competition whilst at Everton, and that is unlikely to increase now he has the Champions League on his hands too. AVB has already indicated it is a road too far for his troops, whilst Arsene Wenger never takes it too seriously. And Manuel Pellegrini certainly hasn’t been hired to win the League Cup.

So could it be Brendan Rodgers’ year at Liverpool? Despite a tough draw tomorrow night, we like the look of them at 12.5 as the best of the rest. For a true outsider, have a look at Fulham at 50s – they can beat anyone on their day, particularly at the Cottage.

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