British Politics

What Happens Next At Oggs Towers, our monthly planning meetings are bibulous affairs. Drink is taken, the world is set to right, and eventually, after poring over the global affairs of the next 30 days, we plan what to write about. 20 days ago, we were all set for a late July Conservative Leadership betting update. By now of course, we would know the final two, and they would be busy touring the country, promising to deport immigrants. But alas, it is the Labour party who have a leadership contest on the go, and it is there that we will start with our look at the best political bets available right now, odds courtesy of our good friends at Paddy... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Wednesday, July 20th, 2016
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)

UK Political Meltdown

PANIC As the financial markets have rebounded, and the global economy has taken to Brexit with a casual shrug, it is left solely to the people responsible for ensuring Britain doesn’t have a collective meltdown, to cause one by running around panicking. That’s right – it’s the politicians who have decided now is the optimal time to leave Britain in the hands of the SNP (or something like that.) But whilst all around are losing theirs, how can you make sure you don’t lose yours. Money of course – we cant help you with losing your head. The first market worth a look is Paddy Power’s offering on the year of the next General Election. There are two reasons why... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Thursday, June 30th, 2016
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)

EU Referendum

Events Dear Boy Up until lunchtime on Thursday, the media had been gripped with the momentum of the Leave campaign. Poll after poll showed conclusive leads for Gove & Co., whilst the PM and George Osborne were looking increasingly desperate and ludicrous. The stabbing of Jo Cox changed everything, and whilst it is never right to play politics with tragedy, there is no doubt that politics has changed. Whether it changes for more than a week, is the big question. For starters, the campaign has been suspended. When it resumes, days will have passed, and more importantly, it will not resume with anywhere near the edge it had. Theoretically, that should favour the Leave camp. It is well known that... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Sunday, June 19th, 2016
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)

New Hampshire 2016

Like Hampshire but Newer Whilst the Iowa Caucus is earlier in the year, and its amount of delegates is minute (<1% of the total), there ain’t nothing like New Hampshire Primary, and the perceived momentum it gives candidates. As a swing state, and one that runs an open primary rather than just a caucus for hardcore party members. For the Democrats, their very own Jeremy Corbyn (albeit without the anti-Semitic mates), Bernie Sanders is hot favourite to win the primary (he represents the neighbouring state of Vermont), although lagging behind in the overall race. Yet Hilary knows all too well the dangers of falling behind to an outsiders, and surely she will throw the kitchen sink at this primary. Back... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Wednesday, January 27th, 2016
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)

Playing the Trump Card

Republican Presidential Nominee If the election of Jeremy Corbyn has taught us anything, it is that the impossible in politics, has now become the possible. Or so we are led to believe. Consequently, the possibility of Donald Trump winning the Republican Presidential seal of approval has gone from being a sick joke a few months ago, to being 3/1 with Ladbrokes, behind only Jeb Bush who is 15/8. Can the choice facing members of the GOP really be Bush or Fanny? Of course, the truth is, the process that will see a nominee elected, is completely different to the process Corbyn won. Even that was bent in his favour – the decision of MPs to back him for a debate,... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Monday, September 21st, 2015
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)

Corbyn Races into Labour Lead

Party’s Satnav Very Much Set to ‘Wilderness’ Setting Like all great jokes, the Labour Party’s attempt to widen their leadership debate by including Jeremy Corbyn in their nominees, could be about to backfire dramatically. No doubt many MPs who gave him their original backing just to ensure he would appear on the ballot, are dramatically regretting their actions. According to private polling revealed in this week’s New Statesman, the left-wing oddball is 15% ahead on first preference. Now whilst this will not give him a majority, given the venom that is being directed between the three main candidates, their supporters are almost certain to assign their second preference votes to Corbyn, rather than a main rival. He could therefore end... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Saturday, July 18th, 2015
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)

EU Referendum

In, Out or Shake it all About History is a gallery of few originals and many copies, someone once remarked. Google it if you’re interested – it probably wasn’t Fred Dome. And lo and behold, just as they were throughout the early 90s, the Tory party are banging on about Europe again. But this time, they may just have the people on their side. Betfair suggest the ‘in’ vote will win the day, pricing it as short as 1.31. This is based primarily one suspects on polls, and we all know how reliable they were during the General Election. Just as there turned out to be hoards of secret Tories, there may well also turn out to be the equally... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Wednesday, July 1st, 2015
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)

General Election 2015 – Part 2

The UK General Election is looming large with the May 7th battle set to be one of the closest elections in history. What’s clear is that a Conservative or Labour majority seems unlikely. There are hundreds of markets available to bet on in the next few weeks and here are our Oggs tips where you can make a pretty penny. First up we’ll oppose UKIP to get more than three seats and will back under 3.5 seats at 8/11 with Ladbrokes. Forecasts are suggesting the party could get anywhere between 1-7 seats and having won two by-elections during the last parliament Nigel Farage will hope to join them. He’s a 4/6 shot with Ladbrokes to win the Thanet South seat... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Wednesday, April 22nd, 2015
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)

General Election 2015

Flashback – 1992 Picture the scene – an unpopular Prime Minister appealing for another five years for his Government, only just beginning to steady a sinking economic ship. An opposition leader, mocked widely in the mainstream media, and viewed as dangerously left-wing by swathes of the press. And the tightest polls for a generation in what those in power are calling the ‘most important election for years.’ No, not 2015, but 1992, when against the odds, Conservative John Major beat Labour’s Neil Kinnock, to win the slenderest of majorities. As we all know history is a gallery of few originals but many copies, so it is little surprise that many pundits are already likening the two campaigns. What this could... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Monday, April 20th, 2015
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)

Murray Says Yes

Scot anticipates Independence vote by divorcing himself from the World’s Top Ten Many have had their say in recent weeks and months about the impact of a ‘YES’ vote next week for Scottish independence. But what about us suckers south of Hadrian’s Wall. What is in it for us? Money obviously, if one can punt correctly. NO is still the heavy favourite at 1.46, despite the weekend poll showing the YES side of the argument taking a fractional lead. This doesn’t represent any value at all in such a tight race, albeit a NO response is almost certain. A more interesting price is the 7.2 available at Betfair on the turnout being between 70-75%. Although over 75% is the hot... Continue reading...

This entry was posted on Wednesday, September 10th, 2014
(Posted in: Articles, Betting, Oggsblog, Politics)
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