4 Bets to Watch – Rugby World Cup Quarter Finals 2011
This entry was posted on Friday, October 7th, 2011
Like much of life, the group stages of the Rugby World Cup are ultimately a waste of time, but thankfully we’re down to the serious business of the tournament now, with three of these ties harder to call than a fiery furnace.
1. Since pushing South Africa all the way in their opening defeat, the Welsh have won three on the bounce for the second time in eight months, giving them every hope of defeating the Irish. However, whilst we believe it will be an extremely close match, we are confident that Ireland will make their first ever semi-final. Back them at 4/5 on Bet365.
2. France have only beaten England once at a World Cup and that was to win the third place play-off back in 1995. The French are in disarray after their shock 19-14 defeat to Tonga, and the players are publicly expressing discontent at the coach Lievremont. The fear for England is that France could pull out a huge performance as they did by beating New Zealand both in 1999 and 2007, but England’s recent record in big World Cup matches against Les Bleus, including the semi-final in 2007, makes us believe they can win even at -4 on the handicap at 10/11 with Bet365.
3. South Africa and Australia is the game the bookmakers are having the biggest trouble working out who will win, but we think the Aussies just edge it, with the Wallabies having won five of the last six meetings between the two. Back the Aussies at 19/20 on Betfair, but don’t touch the handicaps.
4. Only the recent images of Jodie Marsh are more unattractive than the price on New Zealand (1.03 on Betfair) to beat Argentina this weekend, so the value has to be on the handicap betting markets. Having only lost 13-9 to England and shown an impressive defence so far during the World Cup, the handicap offering on Argentina +28.5 at 5/6 with Ladbrokes looks to be tremendous value.